MVP Open 2025
Odds to Win: MVP Open (Sept 25–28, 2025)
Updated: September 22, 2025
Event Overview
Location: Maple Hill DGC (Leicester, Massachusetts)
Dates: September 25–28, 2025
The MVP Open is a DGPT Playoff event at Maple Hill, an iconic venue featuring tight New England woods, signature water carries, and elevation. The playoff layout rewards controlled distance, precise angle control, disciplined risk management, and confident putting under pressure.
Top Rated Players (from PDGA event page)
| Player | PDGA Rating |
|---|---|
| Gannon Buhr | 1062 |
| Calvin Heimburg | 1050 |
| Ricky Wysocki | 1049 |
| Paul McBeth | 1048 |
| Niklas Anttila | 1048 |
| Anthony Barela | 1048 |
| Isaac Robinson | 1047 |
| Kyle Klein | 1044 |
| Simon Lizotte | 1039 |
| Chris Dickerson | 1039 |
Source: PDGA MVP Open 2025 event page roster & ratings.
Projected Odds to Win (Model Output)
| Player | Projected Odds | Model Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Gannon Buhr | 18% | #1 in StatMando Official and event-high 1062 rating; balanced game and playoff resilience. |
| Calvin Heimburg | 16% | Elite PDGA World Ranking snapshot; consistent tee-to-green profile matches Maple Hill. |
| Ricky Wysocki | 12% | High PDGA World Rank; forehand control, scramble, and playoff track record. |
| Paul McBeth | 10% | Former MVP Open winner; elite ranking pedigree and closing ability. |
| Isaac Robinson | 9% | 1047 rating; accurate woods play and C1 putting boost fit. |
| Eagle McMahon | 8% | Shot-shaping ceiling; aggressive lines pay if putter holds. |
| Corey Ellis | 7% | 1036 rating; DGPT form + hot C1X can fuel a playoff run. |
| Simon Lizotte | 7% | Former champ; home-region comfort and confident woods lines. |
| Matthew Orum | 6% | 2023 MVP Open champion; elite woods control yields high floor. |
| Kyle Klein | 4% | Distance + control toolkit; rankings blend keeps him live. |
| Field | 3% | Deep playoff field; several can spike with four clean rounds. |
Course Fit / Profile — Maple Hill (Playoff Layout)
- Controlled distance to specific landing zones on multi-shot par 4/5s.
- Woods precision and angle control; late-stable flights that hold lines.
- Risk management on water-carry holes (notably 1, 8, 18); selective aggression.
- Pressure putting on guarded greens, especially in late-September winds.
Fantasy Picks Advice
Top Favorite — Gannon Buhr (Why he’s the clear play)
Buhr checks every box the model values at Maple Hill: an event-best PDGA rating (1062), No. 1 placement in StatMando’s Official Rankings, and season-long strength in the DGPT Standings. This course rewards selective aggression and precise angle control; Buhr’s current profile emphasizes high-percentage tee shots that create straightforward approaches, disciplined decisions around water, and a steady Circle 1 putt. In our simulations he owns the highest median finish and top-end win equity, making him the most reliable anchor for Fantasy Disc Golf lineups. Even on a neutral putting week, his scramble and OB avoidance protect the floor; if the putter heats up on moving day, he separates. For playoff events, that floor/ceiling blend is exactly what you want.
Safe / Consistent Alternatives
- Calvin Heimburg — PDGA World Rankings leader on the provided snapshot; low-error tee game and steady scoring.
- Ricky Wysocki — Forehand control and scramble prowess mitigate bogeys; playoff pedigree keeps baseline high.
- Paul McBeth — Former MVP Open winner; if C2 runs fall, he retains true win equity.
Dark Horses
- Corey Ellis — 1036 rating with strong DGPT form; hot C1X turns him into a podium threat.
- Matthew Orum — Defending 2023 champion; elite woods lines and tidy upshots produce stress-free pars and birdies.
- Eagle McMahon — Ceiling play; two-way shotmaking lets him choose aggression or bail as conditions dictate.
- Simon Lizotte — Former champ; crowd energy and course familiarity can fuel a late charge.
Past Winners (MPO)
| Year | Champion |
|---|---|
| 2024 | James Proctor |
| 2023 | Matthew Orum |
| 2022 | Simon Lizotte |
| 2021 | Adam Hammes |
| 2020 | Paul McBeth |
Final Thoughts
Maple Hill compresses scoring and punishes mistakes. Build around one anchor from Buhr/Heimburg, add a steady veteran (Wysocki or McBeth), and rotate a course-fit value (Orum/Ellis/Lizotte or McMahon) for leverage. Prioritize players with strong woods control, scramble rates, and reliable putting to maximize “odds to win” while protecting lineup floor.
Photo credit: DGPT – dgpt.com
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